After a decade of reform and retrenchment, the banking industry is on a more secure footing. Balance sheets and capital levels increasingly reflect regulators desire to minimise systemic risk. But it is less clear whether banks have adjusted their business models and operating infrastructures to the realities of the post-crisis landscape. In many cases, the ghosts of the past continue to hamper efforts to cut costs and improve efficiency to the extent required to accommodate lower margins. Nevertheless, technology offers new opportunities for banks to pool resources and expertise, thereby mutualising and minimising operating costs and risks.
In June, the Federal Reserve confirmed that all 34 major US banks had passed its latest round of stress tests, enabling them to resume dividends and stock buybacks. In Europe, despite slow progress toward European banking union, the worries that prompted the initiative are receding. All major European banks achieved core equity tier 1 capital ratios well in excess of regulatory minimums in Q2 2017 (ranging between 11-16%), significantly higher than five years previously.
Now that banks have pushed through the hard yards of compliance with Basel IIIs capital regime, other regulatory deadlines are fewer and further between. Alas, the end of an existential crisis does not herald the resumption of business as usual. Recent financial performance is still well below historical norms, and other sectors. Having inched up steadily in recent quarters, the US banking sector finally achieved return on equity (ROE) above 10% in Q2 2017, albeit with wide differences between laggards (5-6%) and outperformers (12-15%). In Europe, the picture is worse. The European Banking Federation puts European banks collective 2016 ROE at 3.5%, down from 2015s 4.3%. With a 9% average cost of capital, the sector is barely breaking even.
Indeed, few banks were looking forward to the Q3 2017 reporting season with much confidence, some warning investors to expect 15-20% falls in trading revenues, with a lack of volatility having weighing on Q2 figures. Once the dust settles on the Q3 numbers, fundamental realities are likely to depress earnings outlooks and book values. The rising costs of meeting steeper compliance obligations and evolving customer expectations will continue to far outstrip revenues, regardless of changes in interest-rate policy or termination of quantitative easing.
We are entering a new era. The era of high leverage, low wholesale funding costs and high margins is over. Pledges on both sides of the Atlantic to review post-crisis reforms to support economic growth may ease transition to the new normal, but will not bring back the good old days. Pressure on banks to continue to cut costs through operational efficiencies will only intensify.
Cutting operational costs is, of course, no easy matter. Compromising on quality of service delivered by the back office is not an option in times of low yields. Indeed, errors, delays and breaks are tolerated less when there is less profit to go around. How then to reduce their stubbornly high cost and frequency, thereby reducing the back-offices burden on balance sheets, without further damaging customer trust and confidence?
Banks have often tried to drive costs down and efficiency up by shifting responsibility for the back office. But the outcome of banks attempts to outsource or offshore has been mixed at best. You wont necessarily find the evidence in banks financial statements or on their balance sheets, but quality and control have tended to suffer, even when costs have been reduced, which is far from guaranteed. According to a recent DTCC survey, almost 50% of firms still experience moderate to very high costs fixing trade exceptions. Several credible service providers are attempting to build business process outsourcing (BPO) franchises, but the complexities of taking over and managing highly customised processes from a diverse range of banks remain difficult to overcome in a way that achieves both cost savings and productivity improvements for users, and revenues for providers.
This is because years of under-investment have left back-office processes too manual, fragmented and inefficient to be shipped offshore, migrated to a BPO provider or overhauled by enterprise-wide transformation on todays budgets. Typically, the systems on which processes run are deeply embedded into the fabric of the bank, their origins obscured by the passage of time, causing many to fear the consequences of tinkering with the unknown. While some have succeeded in retiring platforms, back-office systems easily run into the thousands at most global banks, while back-office headcount can be triple that level. Despite escalating regulatory pressures, the risks and costs of wholesale back-office reengineering are too large to contemplate, but the same could be said equally of continued reliance!
Hitherto, banks individual efforts do not address the key problems that thwart efficiency, i.e. the lack of standardisation and effective data and process sharing across counterparties. As an industry, we have a collective blindspot that prevents us from recognising the obvious: were all in this together.
Mutualisation of back-office costs and risks is very hard to pull off, but not impossible. I have two reasons for optimism. First, whilst banking may lag other industries on collaboration, there are still many examples where sustained multilateral efforts to standardise processes and drive efficiencies through multi-year commitment to harmonisation have achieved results. From industry-owned cooperatives such as SWIFT, to industry association working groups, to the development initiatives of client-owned market infrastructure operators, it is clear banks can collaborate effectively to tackle common problems.
Second, advances in technology are making it easier to improve back-office productivity and efficiency, without undertaking the Herculean task of ripping out existing systems. If not by reducing the number of breaks and exceptions caused by the balkanised back-office landscape, technology innovation can nevertheless accelerate and automate – and, importantly, mutualise – the processes deployed to resolve them.
Utility solutions based on common platforms and processes can help back-office staff to track and resolve errors and breaks more effectively, partly by identifying authorised contacts at counterparty institutions, but also by creating a dedicated environment for resolving problems, disputes and errors. New technologies are helping banks to exchange information on errors more effectively and more securely, an important consideration in the context of know your customer checks and other financial crime compliance requirements. Also important, a dedicated framework for problem resolution not only encourages collaboration across counterparties, but also fosters best practice in back-office processing, e.g. by enabling benchmarking and peer group analysis.
Many further challenges lie ahead for operations staff, but it is clear banks will have to mutualise risks and costs to really get a handle on back-office operational efficiencies. Its time to mobilise the power of the crowd.
John OHara is Chief Executive Officer and co-founder of Taskize.
Looking Ahead: Setting a Standard for the Future
In his Harvard Business Review article, The Financial Industry Needs to Start Planning for the Next 50 Years, Not the Next Five, Anthemis CEO Nadeem Shaikh points to a widening gap between technology and organizational progress that, if left unaddressed, could have profound consequences for the entire industry. Recognizing that there always will be some practical limitations to such an approach for commercial organizations with many stakeholders, the advice is nonetheless instructive.
As fintech innovations, such as distributed ledgers, artificial intelligence, robotics and cloud computing, transform how financial services are provisioned, the need for stakeholder collaboration to ensure alignment of approach and policies increases. Meanwhile, globalization continues apace, in many cases abetted by technological advances, notwithstanding interruptions caused by reactions of the public that lead to political disruption. The trend is unstoppable.
Despite some concern that the U.S. might become more isolationist, America continues to demonstrate strong leadership on issues related to capital markets – and this must be absolutely encouraged. As home to the largest and deepest markets in the world, American engagement in the global dialogue about these matters is crucial. The U.S. also plays a critical role in the leadership of standard-setting bodies (SSBs), including the Basel Committee, the Financial Stability Board and IOSCO. These organizations serve an important role in convening the appropriate dialogues related to minimum regulatory standards and harmonizing global requirements implemented around the world. These bodies have a clear responsibility to hear concerns from a wide range of stakeholders, and to advance sound policies and standards.
For example, there can be tremendous upsides when SSBs forge consensus before consultations are released to a wider audience – acting in a timely manner to ensure that policies reflect the current state of the global marketplace. Working too far ahead of the curve may result in undesirable outcomes. Jurisdictions can more easily choose not to adopt requirements that might lead to short-term gains, ignoring longer-term and far-reaching risks that could devastate national economies. Standard setting by policymakers should also not occur too soon before technologies adequately mature, and thus policy considerations sufficiently ripen, increasing the risks that the technologys evolution becomes needlessly warped. To quote Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England, the challenge for policymakers is to ensure that fintech develops in a way that maximizes the opportunities and minimizes the risks for society.
Similarly, standards are only as good as their ability to bring all parties together. ISO 20022 is an example of market infrastructures, financial institutions, regulators and SSBs collaborating to address the future needs of the industry. This standard provides the global financial industry a common way of communicating while protecting the framework from future syntax changes. The adoption of ISO 20022 has streamlined cross-border communication between financial institutions, their clients and domestic market infrastructures involved in processing their financial transactions.
As the industry continues to evolve in response to new technological innovations, market participants must come together to address the challenges we may face as adoption and its distribution intensifies. These are still early days, making this an opportune time to develop the rules and communications standards necessary to ensure fintech can reach its full potential.
Consider the adoption of legal entity identifiers (LEIs) as a key reference information that enables clear and unique identification of legal entities participating in financial transactions. LEIs play a key role in helping market participants and regulators aggregate and better understand exposures, enhance market transparency and significantly improve the analysis of micro and macro prudential risks. As a result, LEIs promote market integrity while constraining market abuse and financial fraud, and support higher quality and accuracy of financial data overall.
The adoption of LEIs and ISO 20022 are two examples where collaboration among key stakeholders produced standards that benefit the wider market. In both cases, the standards werent developed within any one organization, but rather jointly by the industry as forward-looking initiatives to improve the stability of the global financial system. We must follow this same approach on new innovations to ensure that financial infrastructure will remain robust and strong to continue protecting the stability and integrity of the global system for the years ahead.
International standards and the bodies that create them are critical today and will become more important in the future. The key will be for the U.S. to remain engaged in these SSBs, and for the SSBs to focus on their important mission – convening, harmonizing and floor-setting – and avoid the lure of prescriptiveness and the complications it can create.
Mark Wetjen is Managing Director and Head of Global Public Policy at DTCC