STANY’s 89th Markets Conference Offers Insights, Innovation, and Networking

The Security Traders Association of New York (STANY) will host its 89th Markets Conference & Reception on April 7 from 7:30 a.m. to 8:30 p.m. at the NYSE. Attendees can expect fireside chats and panels on key subjects, including understanding AI, the rise of hosted pools, prediction markets, and trends in retail trading. This action-packed day will kick off with a breakfast hosted by STANY Women in Finance. Traders Magazine caught up with Kimberly Unger, the Executive Director and CEO to learn more.


Kimberly Unger

How has the STANY conference evolved over the years, and what makes this 89th Annual Conference unique?

Over the years, the STANY Conference has evolved significantly. When I first started out, it was primarily a social event—a large gathering centered around networking and celebration. However, as time went on, we began incorporating more substantive content, and today, the conference is heavily focused on providing valuable insights and discussions. This year, for our 89th Annual Conference, we have an impressive lineup of 16 to 17 panels throughout the day, making it a highly content-driven event.

What sets our conference apart is its unique format—it’s a one-day event, yet it delivers the depth and breadth of a multi-day conference. Another distinguishing factor is the strong sense of community among our attendees. We see a remarkable mix of returning participants and new faces each year, which has helped the event grow both in size and influence.

Additionally, while STANY remains a capital markets conference primarily designed for traders and professionals within the trading ecosystem, we have consistently introduced topics that go beyond traditional discussions. For example, we have hosted a dedicated crypto-focused panel since 2012—long before digital assets became a mainstream topic in financial markets. More recently, we introduced discussions on predictive markets two years ago, and AI has been a recurring theme for the past four years.

Our goal is to stay ahead of industry trends and offer our attendees insights into emerging topics that might not yet be widely covered at other capital markets conferences. This forward-thinking approach ensures that our members and guests are always prepared for what’s next in the financial landscape.

What are the main criteria for selecting speakers and panel topics?

Our conference is planned by a dedicated committee, which operates as part of our board. This committee ensures that each event strikes a balance between traditional panels and those covering emerging, cutting-edge topics. Their goal is to identify and address the most relevant issues for our community.

Because the committee members are actively involved in the trading industry, they have firsthand insight into the topics that matter most to their peers and colleagues. This enables them to curate a program that is both timely and valuable. Speaker selection is also a collaborative process. While certain sponsorships include speaking opportunities, our approach is not solely “pay-to-play.” The committee carefully evaluates and selects thought leaders and subject matter experts who can provide meaningful insights on each topic, ensuring a high-quality experience for attendees.

Would you like to highlight any speakers or discussions?

We are thrilled to welcome Mark Uyeda, Acting Chairman, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to this year’s conference, where he will be speaking with Brett Redfearn, Founder, Panorama Financial Markets, a former SEC official. This discussion promises to be both insightful and timely, and we’re very excited about it. 

In addition, I’m particularly looking forward to two other standout panels. One is our Predictive Markets Panel, featuring Tarek Mansour, Co-founder and CEO, Kalshi. Given the significant attention Kalshi has been receiving in the news, this discussion will be especially relevant and engaging. Another highlight is a fireside chat with Edward Woodford, Founder and CEO, Zero Hash, where he will delve into stablecoins. While we’ve covered digital assets extensively in the past, this will be our first dedicated conversation on stablecoins, making it a must-attend session.

Another major event at the conference is the Women of Finance Breakfast, which is set to be exceptional this year. We are honored to have Nancy Lazar, one of the most respected economists in the industry, discussing key economic issues, including tariffs and the potential market impact of the new administration. Additionally, Sharon Bowen, Chairwoman of the New York Stock Exchange, will provide valuable insights on leadership and the evolving role of women in finance.

With such a strong lineup of speakers and topics, this year’s conference is shaping up to be one of our most dynamic and thought-provoking events yet.

What inspired the creation of the WIF Breakfast? What initiatives have been most effective in increasing female representation in leadership and trading roles, and what more can be done?

Around 12 years ago, both STA and STANY recognized the importance of fostering greater membership and engagement among women in finance. We saw a need to support women in areas that had traditionally been more accessible to men, such as networking and professional development. Over the years, we’ve introduced various initiatives—including some focused on activities like golf—to help bridge that gap.

One of the most exciting outcomes of this effort is the significant increase in female participation at our events, particularly those geared toward junior professionals. Today, these events regularly see 50% female attendance, which was unheard of when we first started this initiative.

Our goal has always been twofold: to support and empower the women already in the industry and to encourage more women to enter the field. In addition to our focus on gender diversity, we have also been actively working with emerging leaders for the past six or seven years, specifically engaging professionals aged 30 and under. It has been incredibly rewarding to see so many of them get involved with the organization, and we’re looking forward to welcoming a strong representation of emerging leaders at this year’s conference.

Are there any emerging trends or issues in trading and market structure that this conference aims to address?

This year’s conference will focus on some of the most pressing topics in the industry, including 24-hour trading, the rise of alternative liquidity pools, and the evolving landscape of liquidity sourcing and management. These discussions will be especially timely given the changes in market structure and regulatory oversight.

A key theme throughout the conference will be the potential impact of a new SEC Chair and the broader direction of the new administration. While the appointment process is still unfolding, these leadership changes will undoubtedly influence market regulations, and we expect this to be a major point of discussion.

The crypto and stablecoin communities are already reacting to the shifting regulatory landscape, but the implications for traditional market structure remain uncertain. We anticipate significant changes to existing rules, and our panels will explore what those changes might look like.

In addition to in-depth discussions on digital assets, STANY’s Annual Conference will feature timely conversations on key developments across asset classes, including Options and ETFs.

Overall, expect to hear a lot of discussion about 24-hour trading and new approaches to liquidity management, with insights that will resonate throughout the conference.

How does STANY plan to foster ongoing collaboration and discussions beyond the conference?

Our primary focus is on growing and engaging our membership, as we believe the true value of STANY lies in its strong sense of community. This year, we’re not only continuing the initiatives we introduced last year but also expanding our efforts—particularly through partnerships with our sponsors—to create more opportunities for meaningful engagement. 

STANY is far more than just an annual conference; we are committed to fostering connections year-round. Every month, we host events that bring together members, non-members, and the broader trading and finance community.

Recently we hosted a Women in Finance event with Webull to celebrate Women’s History Month and an Emerging Leaders event with IEX to raise money for our EL Scholarship Fund, both of which were highly successful. Looking ahead, we are planning two golf outings, an EL symposium, multiple Women in Finance events, an Emerging Leaders Summer Party, and our Annual Meeting and Summer Party, among other networking and industry-focused gatherings.

While I’m currently focused on the logistics of our upcoming events in the next few weeks, our commitment remains the same: to provide consistent opportunities for education, networking, and professional growth throughout the year.

Corporates Focus on FX Risk Management Amid Growing Geopolitical Uncertainty

London, 2 April 2025 – A new report from FX-as-a-Service provider, MillTechFX, has revealed that over four-fifths (81%) of corporates hedge their foreign exchange (FX), increasing protection from increased currency volatility, driven by growing geopolitical uncertainty.

The MillTechFX Global FX Report 2025 analyses the findings from surveys of 750 finance leaders at corporates across Europe, the UK and North America, revealing their FX strategies, the impact of domestic currencies, geopolitical influences, operational challenges and more.

As a result of rising geopolitical tensions, 60% of corporates in the UK and Europe plan on extending hedge lengths, while only 10% plan to reduce them. 33% are decreasing hedge ratios, showing they are balancing long-term stability with short-term flexibility. This increase in hedging activity persists despite rising costs, with 80% of corporates facing higher hedging expenses. This was felt most intensely in Europe, where 98% of corporates said hedging costs had risen, compared to 70% in the UK and 73% in North America.

Three-quarters (75%) experienced losses from unhedged risk in the past year. US corporates saw the highest losses in unhedged risk (76%), followed by the UK (75%) and Europe (72%), while over half (52%) are now considering hedging due to market conditions. The UK had the highest percentage of corporates considering hedging (68%), compared to just 36% of European corporates.

The overall average hedge ratio was 48% and there was little divergence across regions. North America and Europe both had hedge ratios of 49%, whereas UK corporates were slightly lower at 45%. Hedge lengths also showed relatively low variation between regions, with an average of 5.3 months. Hedge lengths were the longest in the UK (5.5 months). By comparison, corporates’ hedge lengths were 5.3 months in Europe and 5 months in North America.

The research also reveals that the value of domestic currencies plays a crucial role in business performance, with 88% of firms reporting an impact on their bottom line. This effect is most pronounced in North America (93%), followed by Europe (88%) and the UK (83%).

Other key findings include:

Europe leads the way on FX hedging – 86% of European businesses hedging their FX risk. North American corporates also placed a high value on FX hedging (82%), followed by the UK with a smaller, though still significant proportion of 76%.

Trump optimism – 78% of corporates were optimistic about the Trump presidency, with European firms the most bullish (84%), followed by the UK (81%) and North America (70%), where concerns over a weaker dollar may have tempered enthusiasm.

UK credit crunch – 74% of UK corporates suffered from tightened credit criteria, while 79% had experienced rising fees. This was slightly less of an issue in Europe where 70% of corporates experienced tighter access to credit and 68% suffered from increased fees.

Dependence on manual processes – 34% of corporates rely on phone calls to instruct FX transactions, while 32% use email and 30% send or upload files.

AI and automation on the rise – 100% of corporates are exploring AI and the most popular use case is risk management (45%), followed by FX operations (41%) and process automation (40%). Corporates also believe automation tools are the technology that will have the biggest impact on their business in the next five years.

Eric Huttman, CEO of MillTechFX commented: “The U.S. administration’s shifting policies and rising trade tensions are intensifying market uncertainty. Given the influence of U.S. policy on global markets, it’s no surprise that these dynamics are driving significant macroeconomic shifts particularly in FX markets.

“Our research shows that the vast majority of corporates globally are hedging their FX risk and protecting their bottom lines. We’re also seeing fairly consistent hedge ratios and tenor lengths, as firms move to lock in certainty for longer and ride out the storm. This is despite rising hedging costs which are putting many CFOs across the globe off as they decide to take their chances, rather than lock in security and forgo long-term protection for short-term gain.

“For those that decide to hedge, it can seem difficult to implement. FX hedging has long been plagued by inefficiencies, hidden costs, and a lack of transparency, forcing CFOs to rely on outdated manual processes. However, a shift is underway as firms embrace tech-enabled solutions that digitise and automate the entire FX process, from onboarding to execution and settlement. Those who move away from legacy infrastructure stand to gain greater efficiency, cost savings, and control, while those who don’t risk being left behind.”

Nick Wood, Head of Execution at MillTechFX, commented: “Currency volatility remains a defining theme in 2025, driven by tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and shifting economic policies. The strengthening USD reflects inflationary expectations and U.S. political divergence, while trade disputes and global conflicts continue to reshape capital flows. The return of President Trump has introduced a more transactional approach to foreign relations, impacting key alliances and market stability. Meanwhile, China’s economic strategy, Japan’s policy shifts, and political uncertainty in Europe add further complexity. As investors navigate these macroeconomic forces, currency markets are expected to remain highly reactive throughout the year.”

To find out more about corporates’’ FX hedging strategies, the effect of rising costs, the impact of geopolitics and their desire for automation as well as regional comparisons, download the report here: https://milltechfx.com/resources/currency-insight-and-education/the-milltechfx-global-fx-report-2025/ 

About MillTechFX

MillTechFX is an FX-as-a-Service (FXaaS) pioneer that enables corporates and fund managers to access multi-bank FX rates via an independent marketplace. 

Its end-to-end solution automates the FX workflow and ensures transparent best execution – saving clients time and costs. It offers a fixed fee service model, including third-party transaction cost analysis to ensure total transparency.

MillTechFX harnesses the purchasing power of Millennium Global, one of the world’s largest currency managers, with $28bn group hedges assets* and transactions over $543bn in annual FX volume**. Via the MillTechFX marketplace, clients can directly access preferential FX rates and credit terms from up to 15 Tier 1 counterparty banks. 

Headquartered in London, the world’s largest FX hub, MillTechFX is authorised and regulated by the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and registered with the USA’s National Futures Association (NFA)

Media contact
Chatsworth 
+44 (0)207 440 9780
MillTechFX@chatsworthcommunications.com

OCC March 2025 Monthly Volume Data

April 02, 2025

Contract Volume

 March 2025 ContractsMarch 2024 Contracts% Change2025 YTD ADV2024 YTD ADV% Change
Equity Options603,733,346498,211,67621.2%30,973,45724,938,49924.2%
ETF Options513,096,542363,007,93841.3%21,751,67518,372,32918.4%
Index Options112,098,00782,239,26036.3%4,760,5344,141,47314.9%
Total Options1,228,927,895943,458,87430.3%57,485,66647,452,30121.1%
Futures5,984,5044,342,09637.8%245,326220,03611.5%
Total Volume1,234,912,399947,800,97030.3%57,730,99247,672,33721.1%

Securities Lending

 March 2025 Avg. Daily Loan ValueMarch 2024 Avg. Daily Loan Value% ChangeMarch 2025 Total TransactionsMarch 2024 Total Transactions% Change
Market Loan + Hedge Total181,451,990,995164,442,116,10210.3% 311,828 219,63541.98%

Additional Data

DTCC Announces New Platform for Tokenized Real-time Collateral Management

New platform marks industry-first use of AppChain financial infrastructure to support institutional decentralized finance (DeFi).

New York/London/Hong Kong/Singapore/Sydney/Tokyo/Abu Dhabi, April 2, 2025 ‒ The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC), the premier post-trade market infrastructure for the global financial services industry, today announced a digital collateral management platform. DTCC and industry leaders will demo the new platform in a live event, “The Great Collateral Experiment” on April 23, representing a diverse cross-section of financial market assets and participants. It’s the first industry demonstration developed on DTCC’s digital ecosystem that launched last October – DTCC Digital Launchpad.

Collateral is an essential risk mitigation tool that helps support overall financial stability. But as the markets grow more complex and cost pressures rise, the demand for high quality collateral increases. Blockchains present a significant opportunity to streamline the flow of collateral across siloed infrastructure, unlocking major capital and operational efficiencies.

The new AppChain-based approach demonstrates the power of tokenized collateral management to:

  • Increase the mobility and velocity of collateral movement globally,
  • Increase capital efficiencies and liquidity for all participants,
  • Facilitate the convergence of traditional and digital assets, and
  • Enable an open digital liquidity ecosystem for market participants to deploy digital applications that enhance collateral operations.

The collateral management platform is an application on the DTCC AppChain, built atop LF Decentralized Trust’s Besu blockchain. The DTCC AppChain offers greater control over privacy, security, and data and uses DTCC ComposerX. DTCC is giving our participants a robust digital financial infrastructure to help navigate the fragmented data landscape that spans traditional and digital networks. The platform leverages a scalable, industry-driven framework rooted in open architecture and common standards.

“Our goal is to highlight how we can enable real-world, institutional-grade digital collateral market infrastructure,” said Nadine Chakar, Global Head of DTCC Digital Assets. “This platform is unique in that we’ve created something that’s more open, flexible, dynamic, and comprehensive than any previous digital collateral initiative.”

“Our work does not stop today,” added Chakar. “We plan to continue building on this collateral model, engaging with the industry and our regulators to develop the standard for tokenized collateral across global jurisdictions, working with the buy-side to give them more direct market access, and laying out the regulatory and legal path to implementation.”

“Collateral mobility is the ‘killer app’ for institutional use of blockchain – we’ve pulled together a coalition of technologists and market participants to successfully showcase how the speed and openness of this technology can safely and reliably unlock liquidity in traditional markets at scale,” said Dan Doney, Chief Technology Officer of DTCC Digital Assets. “By using smart contracts to automate the full range of collateral operations, we enable complex trade execution across markets in real-time at any time, even in volatile conditions.”

ABOUT DTCC

With over 50 years of experience, DTCC is the premier post-trade market infrastructure for the global financial services industry. From 20 locations around the world, DTCC, through its subsidiaries, automates, centralizes, and standardizes the processing of financial transactions, mitigating risk, increasing transparency, enhancing performance and driving efficiency for thousands of broker/dealers, custodian banks and asset managers. Industry owned and governed, the firm innovates purposefully, simplifying the complexities of clearing, settlement, asset servicing, transaction processing, trade reporting and data services across asset classes, bringing enhanced resilience and soundness to existing financial markets while advancing the digital asset ecosystem. In 2023, DTCC’s subsidiaries processed securities transactions valued at U.S. $3 quadrillion and its depository subsidiary provided custody and asset servicing for securities issues from over 150 countries and territories valued at U.S. $85 trillion. DTCC’s Global Trade Repository service, through locally registered, licensed, or approved trade repositories, processes more than 20 billion messages annually. To learn more, please visit us at www.dtcc.com or connect with us on LinkedInXYouTubeFacebook and Instagram.

Trading Success: Flexibility is Key 

By Medan Gabbay, Co-CEO, Quod Financial 

“Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.” – A. Einstein (allegedly) 

Medan Gabbey, Quod Financial
Medan Gabbey, Quod Financial

In most areas of life, we recognize that a variety of tools and approaches are required to solve complex problems, and relying on a single, outdated tool is rarely enough to keep up with our ever-changing environment. Imagine trying to drive across a busy city today using a paper map from 2002 — no real-time traffic updates, no GPS rerouting, no integration with live data. You’d probably get lost, delayed, and frustrated. 

Yet, this is exactly how many trading desks operate. They remain chained to a single legacy vendor, relying on core technology built 10 or 20 years ago, hoping that it will somehow adapt to the complexity and speed of modern markets. 

In our everyday lives, we expect our technology to be dynamic, connected, and data-driven. So why can’t traders demand the same — a trading ecosystem where data flows freely, workflows are integrated, and infrastructure evolves with the market? 

Why Can’t Trading Desks Embrace This Flexibility? 

Often, the challenge lies in the foundations. Many firms still rely on legacy systems that were built to support business needs from decades ago — systems that were never designed to evolve at the speed of today’s markets. Over time, to fill the gaps, firms have tacked on third-party solutions to solve specific problems. But this patchwork approach rarely addresses the root issue. Instead, it creates fragmented workflows, operational complexity, and limits a firm’s ability to adapt. The result is that real business agility is pushed even further away. 

True agility requires a different approach. It starts with modernising the core infrastructure — building a modular, scalable architecture that can easily integrate third-party tools and enable seamless workflows across the organisation. This isn’t just a technology upgrade; it’s a strategic shift that empowers trading teams to respond faster, innovate more freely, and remain competitive in an increasingly dynamic market. 

Architecting for Change 

Markets evolve at a relentless pace. Consider Fixed Income ETFs, for example: once a passive investment vehicle, they now actively shape the prices of the very bonds they track, thanks to their liquidity and market presence. The boundaries between asset classes are blurring, and trading desks need the flexibility to respond — whether in equities, crypto, or beyond. 

But too often, firms rely on monolithic platforms that attempt to do everything, a “one-stop-shop” OMS — and end up excelling at nothing. Today, success doesn’t come from a single, static solution. It comes from creating an ecosystem based on an architecture that seamlessly integrate bests-in-class tools, enable different trading styles, and allow desks to launch new business lines quickly. 

This isn’t just a technology challenge; it’s a mindset shift too. Trading success is no longer defined by order processing alone. It’s about empowering traders to adjust their approach in real time — whether through high-touch consulting, low-touch execution, algos, or other fully automated flows. 

Legacy systems were built for stability and repetition. But the market no longer rewards repetition; it rewards agility. To stay ahead, firms need infrastructure that can evolve as quickly as the markets they serve — open, modular, and built for change.

What Flexible Architecture Looks Like 

This kind of adaptability requires more than surface-level solutions. It means building a technology foundation designed for flexibility — a micro-services based, open architecture where new capabilities can be added or replaced without disrupting the entire system. 

In practice, this involves using APIs and shared data sources so that all tools and workflows operate off a single source of truth. Contemporary vendors, for example, provide a centralized data dictionary or real-time data feeds that can be shared across desks, removing the silos that legacy systems have long created. 

The goal isn’t to replace every tool — but to create an environment where the best tools can work together, seamlessly. 

As Einstein famously did say, “We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.” So, it looks like the future will belong to those who rethink what’s possible.

Retail Investors Reshape Options Trading

Once dominated by institutional investors, the options market is now seeing a surge in activity from individual traders, thanks to enhanced access to educational resources, advanced trading tools, and more sophisticated execution capabilities, according to Neil McDonald, CEO of Moomoo US, a global investment and trading platform.

Neil McDonald

Retail investors are no longer confined to basic stock trading. Many are leveraging multi-leg options strategies, hedging against market volatility, and even generating income through tactics like call overwriting, McDonald said.

He highlighted how this shift is redefining the market: “There is a misconception that trading options is purely speculative.” 

“In fact, we see many retail investors using options to protect their portfolios or for yield enhancement, particularly in response to increased market volatility,” he told Traders Magazine.

This growing sophistication is largely attributed to the democratization of tools and information. Retail traders now have access to the same data, quantitative analysis, and execution speeds that were once the exclusive domain of hedge funds and proprietary trading desks.

“Retail options traders today have as much access to market information, quantitative tools, and execution speeds as institutional traders,” said McDonald. “They are much more educated about markets, in part thanks to news and investor forums online,” he said.

While options trading presents significant opportunities, it also comes with inherent risks. According to McDonald, online brokerage platforms face the challenge of making options trading accessible while ensuring that traders understand the complexities involved.

McDonald emphasized the importance of a structured approach to risk management: “Ensuring traders have the knowledge and tolerance for the risks involved is a balance that must be carefully managed.” 

One approach taken by trading platforms is the implementation of tiered access to options strategies. Traders often progress through different levels based on experience, ensuring they are not exposed to complex strategies like writing naked options before they are ready.

“As a beginner options trader, only single-leg options are available, which limits the level of risk taken to the value of the option premium,” McDonald explained.

With the retail options market growing, regulatory oversight is a key area of focus. While McDonald doesn’t foresee immediate regulatory changes, he acknowledges that platforms must remain vigilant.

“We are continuously monitoring the regulatory landscape for decisions that could impact both the market and retail options traders,” he noted.

One of the most significant developments in recent years is the increased collaboration between trading platforms and major exchanges. These partnerships aim to bridge the longstanding informational gap between retail and institutional investors.

“This complete re-balancing of the longstanding informational asymmetry between retail and institutional investors has been driven by the demand for data from trading platforms,” McDonald said.

He further said that technology is playing a crucial role in empowering retail traders. New tools, such as options strategy builders and no-code algorithmic trading, are allowing traders to design and test complex strategies with ease.

“A standout tool for me is the options strategy builder,” McDonald shared. “Investors can input their goal for returns and timeframe, and the strategy builder will generate potential options to buy and sell, sophisticated scenario analysis, and then back-test the strategy using market data,” he said.

Additionally, social trading is reshaping investor engagement. Many platforms now facilitate discussions among traders from different global markets, providing a broader perspective on investment opportunities.

“What is particularly special about the online trading community is that investors can receive feedback not only from peers based in the U.S. but from international markets who may have a completely different view on a stock,” McDonald said. “It breaks traders out of their echo chambers.”

Looking ahead, McDonald envisions a future where retail traders continue to gain greater access to institutional-grade tools and insights. “2025 is the year of the global options retail investor,” he asserted. “We want to empower traders to make the most of every opportunity.”

Interactive Brokers Launches Prediction Markets in Canada

Forecast Contracts Offer Canadian Investors a New Way to Trade on Economic, Political, and Climate Outcomes

GREENWICH, CT, April 1, 2025 – Interactive Brokers (Nasdaq: IBKR), an automated global electronic broker, announced the Canadian launch of Forecast Contracts. This new product allows Canadian investors to trade directly on the outcomes of events that impact markets, including economic data releases, political decisions, and climate trends. Already available to investors in the US, this expansion reflects the growing demand for predictive tools that help investors manage risk in an uncertain global environment.

Forecast Contracts offer a straightforward and affordable way to express a view or hedge against the outcome of key market-moving events. For example, if an investor believes inflation will rise above a certain level, they can buy a “yes” contract, or if they think it won’t, they can buy a “no” contract instead.

Available through IBKR ForecastTrader, a dedicated web platform, and IBKR’s other trading platforms, Forecast Contracts are based on clear, outcome-based questions, such as “Will the Canada Overnight Rate target be set above 2.75% at the Governing Council meeting ending April 16, 2025?” Eligible clients in Canada can access the platform using their existing Interactive Brokers login credentials.

“Forecast Contracts allow investors to engage with the most important questions driving today’s markets, from inflation and interest rates to geopolitical developments and climate change,” said Steve Sanders, Executive Vice President of Marketing and Product Development at Interactive Brokers. “They provide a direct and accessible way to manage risk and express market views through a focused, easy-to-use platform.”

Each contract is priced between USD 0.02 and USD 0.99, based on the market’s assessment of the probability that the event will occur. If the investor is correct, the contract settles at USD 1.00. If not, it settles at zero. These dynamic prices reflect the evolving consensus of market participants and provide a real-time view of market sentiment.

Forecast Contracts are available to clients of Interactive Brokers LLC, Interactive Brokers Canada Inc. and Interactive Brokers Hong Kong, and are operated by ForecastEx LLC, a CFTC-regulated, wholly owned subsidiary of Interactive Brokers.

To view live contract prices and begin trading, visit: IBKR ForecastTrader – Canada

The best-informed investors choose Interactive Brokers

About Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.: 

Interactive Brokers Group affiliates provide automated trade execution and custody of securities, commodities, foreign exchange, and forecast contracts around the clock on over 160 markets in numerous countries and currencies from a single unified platform to clients worldwide. We serve individual investors, hedge funds, proprietary trading groups, financial advisors and introducing brokers. Our four decades of focus on technology and automation have enabled us to equip our clients with a uniquely sophisticated platform to manage their investment portfolios. We strive to provide our clients with advantageous execution prices and trading, risk and portfolio management tools, research facilities and investment products, all at low or no cost, positioning them to achieve superior returns on investments. Interactive Brokers has consistently earned recognition as a top broker, garnering multiple awards and accolades from respected industry sources such as Barron’s, Investopedia, Stockbrokers.com, and many others. 

Contacts for Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Media: Katherine Ewert, media@ibkr.com

Futures are Back

By Peter Snasdell, Senior Vice President, Devexperts

Futures are rapidly becoming the new darling among market participants owing to their high liquidity, low transaction costs, potential for higher leverage, and ability to hedge against price volatility in underlying markets. 

Record-breaking volumes

At the start of 2024, the Futures Industry Association (FIA) reported record-breaking global futures volumes at 137 billion contracts for 2023. This growth represented a 64% increase on the previous year and marks the sixth consecutive record-breaking year in the trading of international listed derivatives. 

Furthering this trend, in January of this year it was reported that the top 150 global futures contracts had seen a further 16.7% increase in traded notional value since 2023. The top performers were precious metals and foreign exchange, which saw a 26.5% YoY rate of growth. These were followed closely by interest rate and equity futures, which recorded 20.7% and 17.4% increases, respectively.

Confirming these trends, in February 2025, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), reported record open interest of over 100 million contracts on its global futures and options markets on February 20. CME Group also reported its largest single day of trading on February 25, with a new record of 67,256,756 contracts traded. Interest rate futures and options topped the bill, with U.S treasury futures and options coming in second. 

Trading around the clock

The ongoing surge in the popularity of this instrument hinges on a couple of broader trends that futures appear to cater to quite well. These include a general merging of trading sessions and an increased appetite in round-the-clock trading, which is not available for most of the underlying asset classes that futures contracts track. 

While FX was formerly the go-to for those seeking highly liquid 24/5 trading opportunities, the increased interest in futures contracts represents an appetite among speculators to take positions on a broader range of assets outside of traditional trading hours. This also speaks to the global nature of these markets and an increase in international participation. 

The influence of crypto futures

The advent of mature crypto markets that can support institutional participation has also been a major part of this story, effectively extending these trading hours to 24/7. 

Bitcoin futures have become a firm favorite among institutional traders, many of whom have used crypto as a proxy for expressing views on equities markets over the weekend. This is reflected in the increasing correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 since the pandemic, and in the fact that CME’s Bitcoin futures product (an instrument that is just seven years old) recently debuted in the top 150 of CME futures. 

While, historically, many futures markets have experienced issues in gaining popularity and continued interest in their products, modern futures offerings have been successful at fulfilling the various criteria that makes for good futures trading. These include homogeneity, durability, and standardization among the underlying, as well as a high degree of reliable information concerning the assets in question, leading to high demand and unconstrained price discovery.

Increased interest in futures tech

Due to the increased interest in futures trading, there is also added interest in futures trading technologies on both sides of the spectrum, retail and institutional, as well as the HNWI (high-net worth individuals) segment and family offices. 

Risk management is a perennial topic of concern, which isn’t just limited to using futures to offset risk in exposure to other instruments, but also as a potential avenue for generating alpha in their own right. 

This renewed focus on risk management also reflects a general understanding that many futures markets are new enough to not yet be fully understood by economists in all their complexity, with risks varying in their number and intensity over time and across different asset classes. 

In almost all cases, companies are primarily concerned with the ability to implement robust monitoring and control methods in order to be able to detect and avoid potential black swan events in progress. Managing the combinatorial explosion that takes place when calculating complex risk factors across a wide range of instruments in real-time has been a main focus for risk management tools. The failure to do so in the past looms large in institutional memory.

With futures markets gaining increased momentum, market shifts are visibly happening. 24/5 trading is already a reality, and many are waiting for the move to 24/7 trading. This shift will in return provide increased liquidity, but also a need for real-time capabilities such as risk management. As these trends continue to evolve, futures trading will surely provide greater opportunities for institutions offering this instrument to traders.

Larry Fink’s 2025 Investor Letter: Unlocking Private Markets

Extracts from the full letter which can be read here 

Unlocking private markets

BlackRock’s past 14 months — and the future

Economies run on capital. Whether you’re assembling 17th-century trading fleets or 21st-century data centers, the money has to come from somewhere. But historically, it hasn’t been investors. Despite 400 years of financial innovation, from Amsterdam to Change Alley to the New York Stock Exchange, most financing has come from banks, corporations, and governments—not the capital markets.

Why banks, corporations, and governments? Because that’s where people put their money. They parked their savings in bank accounts, drove corporate growth through consumption, and paid taxes that fund public spending.

But when my partners and I founded BlackRock in 1988, we believed the world was changing. The capital markets wouldn’t just supplement banks, corporations, and governments—they’d stand alongside them as a coequal source of capital.

The logic was simple: Markets delivered better returns than the other three. Better returns would attract more investors. More investors would deepen markets. And deeper markets meant more capital. Plus, asset managers could accelerate this shift through innovation. For BlackRock, that meant first developing better technology to manage risk, then expanding choice and lowering fees through products like exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

We’ve been fortunate these past 37 years. Our logic panned out. But what’s striking now is how early we still are in the story of market expansion. The real payoff is only just beginning.

As we enter our century’s second quarter, there’s a growing mismatch between the demand for investment and the capital available from traditional sources.

Governments can’t fund infrastructure through deficits. The deficits can’t get much higher. Instead, they’ll turn to private investors.

Meanwhile, companies won’t rely solely on banks for credit. Bank lending is constrained. Instead, businesses will go to the markets.

The money is already there. In fact, more capital is sitting idle today than at any point in my career. In the U.S. alone, roughly $25 trillion is parked in banks and money market funds.7

But we’re repeating a mistake from the earliest days of finance: Abundant capital. Deployed too narrowly. As one historian wrote, Amsterdam’s first stock exchange “could have made a much greater contribution to the economy” if investors had more companies to invest in. The same is true today.8

Assets that will define the future—data centers, ports, power grids, the world’s fastest-growing private companies—aren’t available to most investors. They’re in private markets, locked behind high walls, with gates that open only for the wealthiest or largest market participants.

The reason for the exclusivity has always been risk. Illiquidity. Complexity. That’s why only certain investors are allowed in. But nothing in finance is immutable. Private markets don’t have to be as risky. Or opaque. Or out of reach. Not if the investment industry is willing to innovate—and that’s exactly what we’ve spent the past year doing at BlackRock.

BlackRock has always had a foot in private markets. But we’ve been—first and foremost—a traditional asset manager. That’s who we were at the start of 2024. But it’s not who we are anymore.

In the past 14 months, we’ve announced the acquisition of two of the top firms in the fastest-growing areas of private markets: infrastructure and private credit. We bought another firm to get better data and analytics, so we can better measure risk, spot opportunities, and unlock access to private markets.

We’ve transformed our company. The next section details why we did it, how we did it, and why it matters.

Private markets are private

Most of us associate “markets” with public markets—stocks, bonds, commodities. But you generally cannot buy shares in a new high-speed rail line or a next-generation power grid on the London or New York Stock Exchange. Instead, infrastructure projects are typically investable only through private markets.

Private markets are, as their name suggests, private. For individual investors, they often require higher minimum investments. And even when the minimums are lower, investing is often limited to people with a certain income or net worth.

The same hurdles apply to most of the world’s companies. Only a tiny fraction are publicly traded, and that fraction is shrinking: The path BlackRock took 25 years ago—raising money through an IPO—is becoming rarer. Instead, 81% of U.S. companies with over $100 million in revenue are privately held. The percentage is higher in the EU, and even higher in the U.K.

Yet these companies still need money to innovate and grow. For decades, they turned to banks, much like families turn to lenders for home mortgages. But that era is rapidly fading. Today, banks by themselves cannot meet the capital demands of growing companies.

The private credit industry is stepping in to help fill that gap. In fact, private credit assets are projected to more than double by the end of this decade.16 Yet, as with infrastructure, many individual investors aren’t able to participate in the growth. Even some larger institutional investors have trouble building a portfolio that allocates these assets the way they want.

From 60/40 to 50/30/20

The beauty of investing in private markets isn’t about owning a particular bridge, tunnel, or mid-sized company. It’s how these assets complement your stocks and bonds—diversification.

Diversification has been called the “only free lunch.” It was the motivating idea that led Nobel Prize-winning economists like Harry Markowitz and Bill Sharpe to develop Modern Portfolio Theory, which became the foundation for the standard portfolio of roughly 60% stocks and 40% bonds. Generations of investors have done well following this approach, owning a mix of the entire market rather than individual securities. But as the global financial system continues to evolve, the classic 60/40 portfolio may no longer fully represent true diversification.

The future standard portfolio may look more like 50/30/20—stocks, bonds, and private assets like real estate, infrastructure, and private credit.

Tokenization is democratization

The world’s money moves through plumbing built when trading floors still shouted orders and fax machines felt revolutionary.

Take the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT). It’s the system that underpins trillions of dollars in global transactions every day, and it works much like a relay race: Banks hand off instructions one by one, meticulously checking details at each step. That relay approach made sense in the 1970s, an analog era when the markets were much smaller and daily transactions were much fewer. But today, relying on SWIFT feels like routing emails through the postal office.

Tokenization changes all that. If SWIFT is the postal service, tokenization is email itself—assets move directly and instantly, sidestepping intermediaries.

What exactly is tokenization? It’s turning real-world assets—stocks, bonds, real estate—into digital tokens tradable online. Each token certifies your ownership of a specific asset, much like a digital deed. Unlike traditional paper certificates, these tokens live securely on a blockchain, enabling instant buying, selling, and transferring without cumbersome paperwork or waiting periods.

Every stock, every bond, every fund—every asset—can be tokenized. If they are, it will revolutionize investing. Markets wouldn’t need to close. Transactions that currently take days would clear in seconds. And billions of dollars currently immobilized by settlement delays could be reinvested immediately back into the economy, generating more growth.

Perhaps most importantly, tokenization makes investing much more democratic.

It can democratize access. Tokenization allows for fractional ownership. That means assets could be sliced into infinitely small pieces. This lowers one of the barriers to investing in valuable, previously inaccessible assets like private real estate and private equity.

It can democratize shareholder voting. When you own a stock, you have a right to vote on the company’s shareholder proposals. Tokenization makes that easier because your ownership and voting rights are digitally tracked, allowing you to vote seamlessly and securely from anywhere.

It can democratize yield. Some investments produce much higher returns than others, but only big investors can get into them. One reason? Friction. Legal, operational, bureaucratic. Tokenization strips that away, allowing more people access to potentially higher returns.

One day, I expect tokenized funds will become as familiar to investors as ETFs—provided we crack one critical problem: identity verification.

Financial transactions demand rigorous identity checks. Apple Pay and credit cards handle identity verification effortlessly, billions of times a day. Trade venues like NYSE and MarketAxess manage to do the same for buying and selling securities. But tokenized assets won’t run through those traditional channels, meaning we need a new digital identity verification system. It sounds complex, but India, the world’s most populous country, has already done it. Today, over 90% of Indians can securely verify transactions directly from their smartphones.60

The takeaway is clear. If we’re serious about building an efficient and accessible financial system, championing tokenization alone won’t suffice. We must solve digital verification, too.

The full letter can be read here 

TECH TUESDAY: Why I’m Not Freaking Out…Yet!

TECH TUESDAY is a weekly content series covering all aspects of capital markets technology. TECH TUESDAY is produced in collaboration with Nasdaq.

The vibes changed in capital markets just over a month ago, and whether you like it or not, vibes can have a powerful knock-on effect.

We’ve seen that play out broadly over the past five weeks. From my perspective, vibes are a byproduct of what Daniel Kahneman would call “System 1” or “fast thinking.” In his profoundly influential book, Thinking Fast and Slow, Kahneman argues that human brains are designed for two (distinct) types of thinking. Fast thinking allows for us to operate at the pace of modern life. In antiquity, that type of thinking kept our ancestors alive.

Kevin Davitt, Nasdaq
Kevin Davitt, Nasdaq

As a reminder, early homo sapiens were comparatively insignificant creatures. We were somewhere in the middle of the natural food chain. The ability to make quick, often emotionally driven decisions was critical. Those that made reflexive decisions were more likely to avoid the wrath of a saber-toothed tiger and pass on their genes. Point being, “fast thinking” is hardwired into the human experience… and for good reason.

Our survival instinct remains finely tuned. In 2025, the average human makes around 35,000 conscious and subconscious decisions a day. Today it takes plenty of resources (economic-speak for “money”) to survive. Periodically, concerns about potential future resource scarcity leads to quick market declines.

I’m of the opinion that the most recent market gyrations are driven by our survival instinct in the modern economic savannah.

The first disconcerting noise came from the release of a potentially much more efficient artificial intelligence (AI) model. “DeepSeek Day” rattled sentiment (vibes) as global investors began to question the future growth path and valuation of market leaders.

The second (probably more concerning) caterwaul was also headline driven, specifically, the plans for imposing meaningful tariffs on some of America’s largest trade partners. Those “noises” (headlines) continue to reverberate, but the first two were enough to trigger a stampede of sorts. In 2025, we’re not running from a predator, we’re hitting the sell button and asking questions later. Fight or flight.

More investors have chosen “flight.” It’s our survival instinct.

2017-2018 Corollary?

Analog comparisons have limited practical value. It’s always at least a “little different this time.” However, there are enough parallels to pique my attention. In 2017, U.S. large-cap indexes exhibited some of the lowest volatility in history. There was a consistent grind higher that accelerated in Q4 ahead of the Trump Jobs and Tax Cut Act.

  • Nasdaq-100® Index (NDX) 2017 Performance: +31.5% on 10.3% realized volatility
  • S&P 500® Index (SPX) 2017 Performance: +21.8% on 6.7% realized volatility

It was, in some ways, a halcyon era:

  • NDX 2024 Performance: +24.9% on 18.2% realized volatility
  • SPX 2024 Performance: +25.0% on 12.6% realized volatility

Chasing Returns

Throughout 2017, capital poured into “short volatility” funds. In aggregate, at the end of 2017/early 2018, there was roughly $6 billion in assets under management for “short volatility” products. Without going into unnecessary detail, those exposures unwound in a very “Hemingway…” gradually, then suddenly. (See also: XIV and SVXY). Sentiment soured quickly. Flight.

For the past handful of years, capital has been streaming into mega-cap tech and the “Mag 7+,” in particular. Valuations got stretched and the vibes changed. In a few short weeks, about $3 trillion in market capitalization has been lost in those handful of names. The markets of today reprice risk with incredible velocity. Flight.

Sell now. Ask questions later.

Survive.

To be clear, there’s a very real difference between levered short volatility and owning highly profitable large-cap equities. The point is that changes in sentiment can trigger very real drawdowns. Some are cataclysmic. Others are manageable. The last spat of volatility has been manageable. Put more directly, it’s been very normal.

Chasing returns is also very normal.

Uncertain Future

Source: Nasdaq Index Options

The chart above plots the price performance of the NDX during two, arguably similar periods. Both lines start on September 1. The blue line shows the path for the NDX between late 2017 and the end of 2018. The red line illustrates NDX performance over the past ~seven months. There are some clear similarities: end of year advances followed by meaningful drawdowns in Q1. In both cases, investors were spooked. Uncertainty was elevated. Trump administration was threatening to impose tariffs. It was confusing, and the NDX closed 2018 down just over 1% and the economy did not fall into recession.

Forward Vol View

  • In February of 2018, the Cboe Nasdaq-100® Volatility Index (VXN)’s closing high was ~34 and it briefly (February 5, 2018) measured below the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX).
  • In February of 2025, VXN’s closing high was ~29, and intraday (March 11), it briefly measured at a discount to the VIX.

I’m in the habit of taking note when that forward volatility relationship inverts. It’s unusual and may signal opportunity.

Source: YCharts & Nasdaq Index Options

In an overt attempt to stick with the “savannah” and survival of the fittest theme, VXN is like a young cheetah in the wild. It can move very quickly, but in some situations it’s slower to react. Imagine the VIX is the young cheetah’s mother… she’s experienced uncertainty throughout her life. When she senses a predator, it’s time to go. Flight. Survival.

In those rare instances, the VIX tends to move first and fastest, but in this case, it plays out in the index options market as opposed to on the Sahara (or on Planet Earth via your favorite streaming app). Furthermore, this signal, while less entertaining in the moment, could provide financial opportunities.

The discerning observer may find spots where NDX implied volatility appears cheap relative to similar SPX facing exposures. Perhaps the signal could be more directly viewed as a capitulation. In any case, it’s part of the data we’ll continue to track, and periodically, call to your attention.

In the interim, Think Fast… and Slow.

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