Thursday, January 29, 2026
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      Outlook 2026: Stamo Hadjiyski, CMG

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      Stamo Hadjiyski is Co-Founder of CMG.

      What were the key theme(s) for your business in 2025?

      Stamo Hadjiyski

      The ability to react quickly to issuance windows that opened and closed rapidly was critical throughout the year. After a first quarter weighed down by uncertainty that curtailed ECM activity, the tone shifted dramatically in May, when the market recorded back-to-back months exceeding $30B in issuance for the first time since 2021. That momentum carried through Q3, fueled by large-cap IPOs, surges in follow-ons and an active convertible bond
      market.

      Throughout the year, our focus was on supporting the buy- and sell-side communities to navigate issuance windows that opened and closed rapidly, enabled by stronger data intelligence and more efficient workflows. The speed of the market’s rebound underscored the importance of real-time data, consistent processes, and a unified view across the entire deal lifecycle. While overall issuance is likely to finish only modestly higher year-over-year, the outsized strength in IPO proceeds highlighted where investor demand truly returned and where the market regained its footing.

      What was the highlight of 2025?

      The clear highlight of the year was IPO activity and performance. First-day returns more than doubled versus 2024, offering one of the clearest signals in recent years that investors were willing to reengage with new issuance. Momentum peaked through Q3, which delivered several of the year’s most notable offerings and a consistent stream of issuance
      across sectors. Although the government shutdown in October abruptly halted activity and
      slowed issuance for the remainder of the year, the market’s underlying demand remained
      intact. Investors remained engaged, and pricing outcomes continued to reflect healthier
      sentiment.

      IPO Proceeds

      • 2025 – $47.1B
      • 2024 – $32.8B
      • 2023 – $20.5B

      Note: IPOs raising proceeds of $50M or greater; excluding SPACs

      What are your expectations for 2026?

      We believe 2026 has the potential to be a true breakout year for IPOs. The pipeline of IPO-ready companies is both sizable and more diversified than in recent cycles, spanning technology, industrials, healthcare, and consumer sectors. Many of these issuers have been waiting for a clearer pricing backdrop and more predictable investor demand, and those conditions are becoming increasingly supportive. The key is achieving several sustained quarters of uninterrupted issuance—something the market has not seen since 2021.

      Outlook 2026: Jim Toes, Security Traders Association

      Jim Toes is President and CEO of the Security Traders Association (STA).

      Jim Toes, STA
      Jim Toes

      Who were the most important/influential people in your industry in 2025?

      Just eight months into his term, the influence of SEC Chairman Paul Atkins has already been undeniable. We were fortunate enough to have Chairman Atkins speak at our 2025 Conference, where he spoke to the “vital” need for industry engagement at the SEC. Through the plethora of roundtables hosted by the SEC and industry engagement from Chairman Atkins, his leadership has welcomed in a new era of regulation focused on collaboration, rather than the exclusionary practices we’ve seen in prior years. With his knowledge of and experience within our markets, we are confident that Chairman Atkins will remain an influential industry figure in 2026 and beyond.

      Our affiliate presidents and board members deserve well-earned recognition for their efforts in providing education on the most relevant issues impacting our industry and fostering a strong sense of community. Each year, more than 200 individuals volunteer their time to organize events, provide engaging content, and support their local communities. As a grassroots organization, the growth of our affiliates directly impacts career development while improving the working conditions of industry professionals.

      What are you looking forward to in 2026?

      In 2026, we look forward to even further collaboration between market and regulatory leaders. STA’s top priority is providing a collaborative industry voice in Washington, D.C., and the increased enthusiasm for industry input from both the SEC and FINRA has been a positive signal for the coming years. STA’s industry expertise is embodied by our members and our ETF Advisory, Listed Options, and Retail Advisory Committees, who bring a diverse breadth of knowledge across all asset classes to these discussions and comment periods. Topics such as the ETF share class, record-setting options trade volumes, and a growing interest in prediction markets are key points of discussion, and remaining at the forefront of these developments will continue to guide our strategy for the coming year.

      We are also eager to recognize some key milestones among STA affiliates this coming year. Both our Chicago and Philadelphia affiliates will be celebrating their 100th anniversary, our New York affiliate will be celebrating its 90th anniversary, and STA Arizona will kick off its first year as an independent affiliateCelebrating affiliates with decades-long rich histories while simultaneously welcoming new voices and financial hubs illustrates our ever-evolving industry, and our commitment to building and maintaining strong foundations for advocacy and education.

      What trends are getting underway that people may not know about but will be important?

      The conversation around tokenization is growing at a faster rate than some may think. One of the most widely-attended panels at our 2025 Conference explored the impact of tokenization on market structure. Two central points in recent discussions on the interests of retail customers are 24-hour trading and crypto, which may fuel the permanence of decentralized finance and tokenization in traditional market structures. As we approach 2026, we’re curious to identify the strongest voices in this space for future conversations within the industry and with regulators.

      Outlook 2026: Jason Wallach, Bruce Markets

      Jason Wallach is CEO of Bruce Markets.

      Jason Wallach

      What were the key theme(s) for your business in 2025?

      In 2025, the defining theme for our business was the overnight market’s shift from a theoretical extension of the trading day into a viable venue for consistent, high-quality execution. Demand had long existed, particularly among global investors, but participation was limited by concerns around execution quality and whether outcomes could meet core-session standards.

      Bruce ATS officially launched in March, and activity accelerated as brokers and platforms gained confidence in predictable fills and execution quality. As participation expanded, volume became more consistent and less episodic.

      That shift mattered not just for Bruce but for the broader market. It showed that overnight trading can support professional workflows and helped restore confidence among international participants, including the return of Korean traders later in the year. 2025 marked clear proof that overnight trading now functions as real market structure rather than an experimental side channel.

      What are your expectations for 2026?

      In 2026, we expect overnight trading to enter a more competitive phase with increased investor participation and more market-level competition between venues. According to a joint survey from the DTCC and EY, market participants expect that as much as 10% of U.S. equity volume could trade overnight by 2028, underscoring how quickly extended-hours activity is becoming a material part of the market.

      As that growth becomes more visible, the conversation will shift away from access alone and toward execution outcomes. Brokers and platforms will increasingly evaluate overnight venues based on fill quality, predictability and how seamlessly they integrate into existing workflows. Within that environment, we expect Bruce to continue capturing share by focusing on consistent execution and ease of connectivity as overnight participation scales.

      What trends are getting underway that people may not know about but will be important?

      As overnight trading becomes more established, the focus is starting to move beyond access and toward the infrastructure that will support its next phase of growth. One emerging development is the increased attention on equity-linked tokenization and what it could require from market structure. If these products begin to scale, they will place greater importance on markets that operate continuously and can support real-time activity rather than processes tied to a single trading session.

      There’s also growing pressure on data services to become more flexible and easier to integrate as new participants and products come online. As overnight participation broadens, brokers and platforms that lack comprehensive, always-on market data will find it harder to serve clients trading across time zones. These shifts are still taking shape, but they will influence how overnight markets evolve as activity extends further beyond traditional hours.

      What are your clients’ pain points and how have they changed from 1 year ago?

      A year ago, many overseas retail investors, particularly in Korea, could not trade U.S. equities during their local daytime. Today, those investors can access U.S. stocks overnight, marking a meaningful shift in global retail participation.

      As a result, client pain points have moved from basic access to execution quality and ease of integration. Brokers and fintechs now focus on delivering consistent fills and meeting clearer regulatory expectations as overnight trading becomes part of standard workflows. Vendors face similar pressure, as customers increasingly expect overnight U.S. trading and data to be offered as a native capability rather than a custom project.

      Rethinking Hedge Fund Infrastructure: How Modernization Unlocks Opportunity 

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      By Frank Cataudo, General Manager and Global Head of the Buyside Investment Management Solutions Business at Broadridge.

      Frank Cataudo

      For years, hedge fund COOs regarded operational infrastructure as a basic necessity rather than a strategic investment, often placing it behind more immediate priorities. As long as core systems functioned, they were considered adequate. However, the industry’s growth, mounting regulatory complexity, and rising investor expectations have challenged that view. The demand for institutional-grade reporting and seamless connectivity continues to intensify as fees tighten and more investors seek opportunities in increasingly democratized markets.  

      Realistically, the outdated platforms and patchwork systems that got many firms to this point can’t take them much further. Infrastructure that performs as expected most of the time is simply not cutting it, and every firm has examples of the problems these systems are causing. Trades fail to settle on time when two systems don’t communicate. A month-end close drags on because accounting teams need to chase down missing data. A firm’s most astute strategic thinkers are spending hundreds of hours on redundant or manual tasks. These inefficiencies aren’t just annoyances; they’re hindering growth. 

      The Rising Costs of Standing Still 

      The accumulated effects of these issues can translate to a number of poorer outcomes, including increased regulatory risk, diminished credibility and reputational harm. In an environment where allocators are scrutinizing governance and transparency alongside financial performance, operational inconsistencies are a potential red flag.  

      Once you consider the lost opportunities to innovate, differentiate from competitors, and expand market share at a time of dramatic industry change, the true cost of maintaining the status quo often exceeds what it would cost to modernize. Of course, that’s a hard point to prove for stakeholders and decision makers in a traditionally slow-moving field. 

      Re-Examining Risk, Reimagining Access 

      Not long ago, replacing a core system for order management or portfolio management was considered a massive project — costly, time-consuming, and fraught with risk. But today’s interoperable, cloud-based platforms have changed the modernization paradigm, making major migrations faster, safer, and more reliable. Many firms now approach these transformations through a phased rollout model, which allows them to test, adapt, and scale new technologies with minimal operational risk. 

      It’s not just advancements in capability, but a change in mindset that’s enabling this shift. Leaders are beginning to recognize that outdated infrastructure is itself a source of risk and a roadblock to resilience. This change in thinking is further propelled by recent trends toward the democratization of investment markets. Asset classes and financial instruments that were once reserved for the most sophisticated or well-funded managers are now readily available to many more market participants, thanks to the convergence of advancements in digital technology and the demand for more investment choice. 

      Operational Credibility as the New Alpha 

      As raising capital remains fiercely competitive, institutional allocators have become more discerning, seeking managers that pair performance with operational excellence. The firms that are getting this right do so by treating technology as a strategic enabler, not a back-office expense. These leaders are investing in systems that allow them to scale without friction, support diverse strategies and asset classes, and maintain transparency across the trade life cycle. Most importantly, they view modernization as a chance to fortify their businesses, positioning them for strategic success today and well into the future. 

      Building for the Next Era of Growth 

      Successful technology transitions rely on conviction, and forward-looking COOs are approaching transformation as a leadership exercise. They start with a clear vision of what scalable, data-driven operations would look like for their firm and rally teams around that goal. Effective change management, cross-functional alignment, and open communication are critical to the process and outcomes. Often, the best strategic path starts with enlisting experienced tech advisors and innovation partners to help firms move efficiently and decisively. 

      Scalability is about more than volume; it’s about handling more complexity, more markets, more data, and more regulatory pressure in stride. Real-time risk and compliance monitoring are already industry necessities. Automation and interoperability are the new frontier.  And a unified ecosystem where data flows freely and securely among fund administrators, prime brokers and custodians is coming into clearer view. 

      The Leadership Imperative 

      With technology recast as an enabler, the crucial limiting factor now is hesitation. Hedge fund leaders that embrace modernization are positioning their firms for operational fortitude and strategic advantage. Those that that resist transformation should prepare to be left behind.  

      The question isn’t whether hedge funds can afford to modernize; it’s whether they can afford not to. A new generation of managers is on the cusp of rebuilding the industry’s foundations with technology at the core, ultimately freeing their best and brightest players to focus where it matters most: generating Alpha. 

      Outlook 2026: Noel Kimmel, Ripple Prime

      Noel Kimmel is President, Ripple Prime.

      What were the key theme(s) for your business in 2025?

      Noel Kimmel

      2025 was a banner year for prime brokerage and clearing, at large, due to tariff-driven volatility and other macro uncertainty. With greater reliance on prime brokers and clearing firms than ever before, non-bank entities such as Ripple Prime demonstrated their value proposition – delivering institutional grade service and technology without bank regulatory constraints. The ability to effectively serve multiple asset classes – traditional and digital – proved especially important, as clients seek unified risk management and capital efficiency in an increasingly multi-asset world.

      Within our digital asset business, we have witnessed a material broadening of the investor base and widening of the institutional appeal and acceptance for digital assets in 2025, largely driven by the constructive regulatory environment in the U.S – specifically the passing of the GENIUS Act. Digital assets are increasingly viewed by investors as a core allocation in diversified portfolios, and Ripple Prime has seen increased demand from clients to engage with crypto rails in 2025 compared with past years, especially as this asset class can plug into existing workflows rather than reinventing them.

      What was the highlight of 2025?

      The obvious highlight for our business was our acquisition by Ripple, a leading financial technology company that offers crypto solutions for businesses. With the backing of Ripple’s significant balance sheet as well as its depth of crypto infrastructure technology and expertise, we have exponentially increased our capacity to service both our existing clients and other large institutional players, and Ripple Prime today represents one of the largest non-bank prime brokers globally. Access to Ripple’s platform and licenses also enables us to serve more markets and asset classes, as we’ve already seen with our launch of digital asset spot prime brokerage capabilities for the U.S. market in November. The synergies between the two businesses made this acquisition a logical next step in our growth and in the continued evolution of institutional market structure.

      What are your expectations for 2026?

      We anticipate further professionalization of digital asset market structure in 2026. For example, we expect transaction activity to continue to migrate to tri-party, off-exchange collateral networks, driving capital efficiency while mitigating counterparty and operational risks. Prime brokers serving these markets will be held to increasingly tight risk standards – such as clear segregation of accounts, rehypothecation limits, and mandated Proof of Resilience and System and Organizational Controls reports.

      Additionally, following the success of spot BTC, ETH and XRP ETFs in the U.S. – which have received sustained attention from traditional allocations – mainstream access to digital assets is now “ETF-first.” We expect digital asset ETFs and ETNs to continue to emerge and grow, which structurally deepens liquidity.

      Lastly, with U.S. market gravity reasserting itself in 2025, institutional liquidity will continue to be pulled back into U.S. venues, with second order effects such as improved market depth and spreads. Altogether, these developments help to instill confidence and encourage institutional participation in digital asset markets.

      What trends are getting underway that people may not know about but will be important?

      2025 was undoubtedly the year of the stablecoin, with aggregate supply surpassing the $300 billion mark, as the aforementioned GENIUS Act in the U.S. passed and the technology gained growing acceptance among financial market participants. At Ripple Prime, we believe that 2026 will be the year that stablecoins become mainstream, due to their 24/7 global settlement capabilities, and enhanced auditability and composability.

      There are several underappreciated but meaningful near-term catalysts that will drive the adoption of stablecoins, including anticipated revisions to current Basel Committee bank guidance, as well as the CFTC’s continued progress on its tokenized collateral and stablecoins initiatives. We expect treasury operations, collateral mobility, and T+0 liquidity use-cases to scale first – and quickly.

      Outlook 2026: Lisa Balter Saacks, Trillium Surveyor

      Lisa Balter Saacks is President, Trillium Surveyor.

      Lisa Balter Saacks

      What were the key themes for your business in 2025?

      In 2025, our primary focus was helping firms modernize oversight through better data, stronger analytics, and more unified systems. Across the industry, compliance and trading teams still manage trade surveillance and best execution analytics in separate environments, often relying on different data sets and inconsistent workflows.

      A key theme for us was delivering a best execution analytics offering that matches the depth, quality, and rigor of our trade surveillance platform. Firms should not have to choose between strong surveillance and meaningful execution analysis or manage multiple vendors to achieve both. Especially as expectations around best execution increase, firms need clear, defensible analytics that make execution quality measurable and explainable.

      By bringing trade surveillance and best execution analytics together within the same platform and data foundation, we aimed to reduce fragmentation and enable more consistent, scalable oversight as market structure evolves.

      Another important theme was investing ahead of market structure change. Throughout 2025, we expanded our surveillance coverage across digital assets, 24/5 trading, and most recently prediction markets, recognizing that trading activity no longer fits neatly into traditional hours or products.

      What was the highlight of 2025?

      The highlight of 2025 was the launch of our Best Execution Analytics engine. Firms are under growing pressure to demonstrate execution quality with rigor and consistency, yet many still rely on quarterly reviews or static reports that provide limited insight.

      Our focus was on shifting best execution analysis to a daily, data-driven process. By continuously analyzing large volumes of trade data, firms can identify trends and issues earlier rather than uncovering them after the fact.

      This approach delivers measurable value across both trading and compliance. Trading teams gain clearer, more timely insight into execution performance, while compliance teams benefit from repeatable, defensible analysis that supports governance expectations.

      What trends are getting underway that people may not know about but will be important?

      One important trend is oversight moving closer to the trading workflow. Compliance and trading teams are increasingly aligned around shared data and analytics rather than operating in separate systems and long review cycles.

      We are also seeing a clear shift from periodic reviews to more continuous analysis. Quarterly best execution reviews, for example, are no longer sufficient in markets that move faster and operate across more venues and trading hours. Firms are looking for daily, repeatable analytics that provide earlier insight and stronger governance.

      Finally, oversight is expanding into newer market structures sooner than in the past. Extended trading hours, digital assets, and event-driven products are prompting firms to think about market integrity and monitoring at the outset, rather than after these markets are established. We believe that mindset shift will be critical as market structure continues to evolve.

      What are your clients’ pain points and how have they changed from one year ago?

      Client pain points today have expanded beyond oversight as regulators continue to place a much stronger emphasis on the processes firms have in place. Firms are expanding into new markets, assets, and trading models and are working to manage growing complexity without adding friction. 

      Before now, many firms were focused on adding tools to address individual requirements. Today, the conversation has shifted toward simplifying infrastructure and ensuring consistency across trading and compliance. Clients are looking for technology that supports multiple oversight needs within a single platform backed by reliable data and intuitive workflows.

      Ultimately, firms want systems that adapt alongside market structure changes, rather than forcing teams to constantly adjust their processes. Our focus has been on delivering that flexibility while keeping oversight efficient, transparent, and scalable.

      You Cannot Regulate What You Cannot Define: The Clone Wars

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      By Kelvin To, Founder and President of Data Boiler Technologies.

      Defining the problems and preventing the downfall of humanity 

      Kelvin To, Data Boiler Technologies
      Kelvin To

      Amid domestic issued stablecoins and foreign issued stablecoins may be backed by same assets, regulatory regime ought to differentiate and skew it in favor of stablecoins issuance by a US based permitted payment stablecoin issuer (PPSI).  

      Impose a 1 to 2% of gross revenue surcharge on Exchanges and DeFi protocols requiring their allocation of the fund to risk education program for existing and prospective retail clients, instead of addressing the loophole about “third-party” offering of interest on stablecoin holdings (amid GENIUS Act prohibits stablecoin issuers from paying interest directly). 

      Policy makers should make sure these crypto infrastructure providers would not just profit from the US and betray America’s interest. They must always abide by the US rules; particularly their products and processes should ultimately tie back to strengthening the US Treasury and repos markets. This is similar to the Dodd-Frank Volcker rule having an explicit exemption on US Treasury and repos. Per BIS“some stablecoin issuers rely on reverse repos to generate additional income. During market stress, this could strain repo market liquidity, with spillovers on other short-term dollar funding markets. In addition, interconnections arise through direct exposure to banks via deposit holdings…” 

      We have reservation with the BIS / IIF prescribed unified ledger / Project Agorá that integrates different financial assets and central bank money onto a single, programmable platform to automate and streamline transactions. The CAT system has set a bad precedent. To effectively mitigate privacy and security risks without creating bureaucracy, do keep in mind the following three management fundamentals: (i) segregation of duties, (ii) keep clean with high incentives (e.g. whistleblower award), and (iii) precognitive prevention by reducing the number of unknown unknowns. Better to analyze data directly at its originating source and scrutinize high risks cases as prompted by informants / suspicious activity intelligence. Also, agentic AI may use baits to catch illicit activities hopping around. 

      Twenty-first century challenges include a rebellious move by an insurgent with a war chest to orchestrate a market wide shake-up, and foreign adversaries wanting to erode the US’s prominent market position. Bad actors / foreign adversaries play across markets and payment systems simultaneously. Per Professor Hélène Rey, policy makers should observe and monitor “the magnitude and substitution patterns between dollar-backed crypto assets and money market funds and deposits in local currencies and dollars.” Also, China’s 2024 US dollar bond issuance in Saudi Arabia had yields on par with or slightly above US Treasury benchmarks, while its late 2025 Hong Kong issuance had yields that were slightly below US Treasury equivalents for similar maturities. These “clones” of US Treasury, together with China “gold corridor” strategic initiative with the BRICS, are adversely affecting the US monetary policy in the long run.  

      We foresee increasing crossover activities between AI, tokenization and Digital Assets. AIs “cloning” from known lessons in reality or simulated environment to generate or manipulate the “likes” in a real, mixed, or virtual reality, a metaverse or multiverses with selective focusKnowledge distillation can be a shortcut for cheap AIs to produce “counterfeits” or steal the fruits of other AIs. In parallel, DeFi redefines the alchemy of finance and “cloning” reward programs’ points, membership, ticket, credential, title instrument, identity badge, money, and whatnot into digital tokens.  

      The high energy cost of mining Proof-of-Work (PoW) currencies creates a positive correlation with its value, especially Bitcoin and the like. If people want to outsource mundane tasks to increasingly complex matters to AI agents / machines, AI may require equivalent exchange of computing power / energy represented by crypto in the future. Some make PoW simpler, yet Proof-of-Stake systems are vulnerable to voting paradoxes“Simplification” undermining the problem of tyranny of the majority (i.e. oppression of minorities, exclusion of value input causing poorer decision-making, and intensified conflicts by refusal to compromise leading to social polarization and unrest).  

      Simplifying everybody’s life is an honorable goal, yet AI if misused can enslave humans. Deskilling and overreliance on AI make people become simple minded. People turn into couch potatoes when they lose their independent critical thinking and handy person’s abilities. All AIs want to be fed, but inputs versus outputs will get out of proportion. The Good – some GenAI prompt users to choose from few suggestive questions to keep the human and AI dialogue going that sharpen each other’s mind. The Bad – some Large Language Models intentionally cause additive behaviors. The Ugly – AI social credit score. While people test and measure the intelligence level of AIs, AIs use Turing, behavioral analysis, psychometric tests, and what intelligent questions we ask of AIs to score how dump different people are in vice versa. AIs ONLY rely on the most intelligent and timely inputs from humans, while giving back generic, cookie cutter, or flattery simple responses. If users do not want deteriorated feedback, there will be different tiers of subscriptions based on what human intelligence and crypto energy coins one is willing and can contribute or feed the AIs. This is NOT AI bias but human greed that exacerbates inequality. Tiering and scoring humans ought to be regulated. 

      Putting geopolitics, AI, and Crypto into a common perspective, the problem faced by humanity boils down to: 

      • We all screwed ourselves by overreliance on global supply chaintechnologiesbureaucratic financial systems
      • Corporates keep cloning / rehashing the same legacy products and pandering it or sold counterfeits to the mass market;  
      • Authorities blame it on inadequate penetration, and many try to find scapegoats to escape their own blame; 
      • Most people have IBG / YBG mentality and choose to do what is easy but neglect the consequences of shortcuts
      • Greed and laziness are to blame; tensions rise where Ruthless (TraFi) and Reckless (DeFi) created each other; 
      • Sarcastically, in the end everyone wants everything and the world back to “Normal”, when the “NORM” may indeed mean “it does not matter if we do not know how to do anything.” Social norms evolve overtime. 

      Is it the decline of the world population that we need humanoid clones to pick up the work where people slack off? Would nations measure wealth by the number of humanoid clones owned per household and the amount of tokenized energy each household can generate, rather than by cars and livable space? Does China or the US, have the better economy of scale to become the world dominated manufacturer of Humanoid clones? Are these humanoid clones a one size fits all multi-purposes agents or they will be like robot vacuums or automated lawn mowers that serve specific functions? In either case, short-sighted corporations push outdated products, exhibit a lack of personalization, and underinvest to maximize profits. 

      Hope is dim if all the investments in AI and Crypto are meant for another round of corporates’ push of their mass-produced products. There is hope if we use AI and DeFi to tailor products and services in line with the mass customization global trend. 

      A revitalization of the US manufacturing sector will NOT be driven by humanoid clones sitting in assembly lines. Penetrating consumers to buy Humanoid clones will NOT increase the US competitiveness, except creating ever more waste like old Electric Vehicles’ batteries. Suck up the power enabled by AI and DeFi, so that every US household can turn their garages or any underutilize space into workshops. By equipping US households with “robotic assisted appliances” and low-cost access to supply and distribution channels, many would become entrepreneurs to customize every good and service. These appliances need economy of scope (like 3D printers or various Apps on iPhone or Android), but NOT necessarily high production capacity.  

      We believe the US would lead the world by unleashing creativity and ingenuityGamification is what Americans do best. It prevents AI dulling our human minds. With AI, we can detect the smallest irregularities between an original, plagiarized or counterfeit product, covered song, and genuine derivative product. It helps detect and deter bad actors and foreign adversaries from hiding under the guise of DeFi or any AI generated clones.  

      We are optimistic about the US AI Action Plan, particularly because of this commendable US copyright and AI report. It strikes the appropriate balance in assessing the divergence between private rights and social costs. That being said, unfinished legislative work remains after the Google v. Oracle case about fair use. We have been an advocate for Copyright Licensing Mechanism across industries. We suggest expanding and further strengthening the US Intellectual Properties (IP) protections. Making it cheaper and easier to enforce IP anywhere around the world. Incentivizing the discovery and reduction of “unknown unknowns.” When the World prospers more under the US leadership, there will be less bad actors and adversaries. 

      Outlook 2026: David Choate, CAPIS

      David Choate is COO at CAPIS.

      What was the highlight of 2025?

      David Choate

      The clear highlight for CAPIS in 2025 was our acquisition of TD Securities’ Plan Sponsor Services business, a milestone that fundamentally strengthened our position in the commission management and commission recapture space. The transaction brought meaningful scale to our business, putting us on pace to grow top-line revenue by 30% for the year, but its significance went well beyond the numbers. TD’s program had long been regarded as one of the most respected in the industry, and integrating its client base, operational expertise, and long-standing relationships into CAPIS has been transformative.

      A major success factor was the seamless transition of the team. We retained the majority of TD’s Plan Sponsor Services staff, including Tim Conway, who served as Managing Director at TD and now leads Plan Sponsor Services at CAPIS. His leadership and the institutional knowledge he and his colleagues brought over ensured continuity for clients from day one.

      At the same time, TD continues to serve as an executing broker in our Global Trading Network, reinforcing a relationship that benefits plan sponsors and asset managers alike. Altogether, the acquisition deepened our capabilities, broadened our reach, and solidified CAPIS’ leadership in commission management.

      What surprised you in 2025?

      One of the biggest surprises in 2025 was the shift we saw in U.S. equity commission rates. Even as headline commission levels continued their long-term decline, a meaningful share of managers in the CAPIS universe—42%—actually increased rates during the year.

      The reasons varied: one manager with over $20 billion in AUM cited the lack of stock splits for raising cents-per-share rates, while another adopted basis-point structures more common in non-U.S. markets.

      Despite the different approaches, the underlying theme was the same: research. Active managers continue to rely on commissions to acquire research and brokerage services designed to support their investment decision making process. The trend underscored an important dynamic that active managers are willing to adjust commission structures when needed to maintain the research that underpins their investment process.

      What trends are getting underway that people may not know about but will be important?

      A trend that is still early but gaining real momentum is the renewed focus on the role active management plays in supporting healthy, well-functioning markets. Over the past year, we’ve seen more conversations across allocators, managers, and policymakers about the importance of research, price discovery, and merit-based capital allocation. These aren’t new concepts, but they are taking on fresh relevance as the industry reassesses what underpins long-term market quality.

      Active managers perform functions that markets rely on every day: evaluating businesses, shaping liquidity, and helping investors understand the drivers behind company performance. As attention returns to these fundamentals, we expect to see more dialogue around how to support a strong and diverse active management community. That could include updates to regulatory frameworks, improvements to the environment for IPOs, and policies designed to encourage robust public markets.

      This isn’t about positioning one investment style against another, but rather recognizing that a vibrant market ecosystem depends on maintaining the core functions that active management provides…the allocation of capital based on merit rather than weighting in an index.

      Outlook 2026: Troy Kane, InPlay Global

      Troy Kane is President and COO of InPlay Global, which operates a regulated market for sports performance-based financial instruments.

      Troy Kane

      What were the key theme(s) for your business in 2025?

      In 2025, the central theme for InPlay Global was laying the essential groundwork to introduce our innovative Performance Securities to investors in the year ahead. After several years of development, this was the year our concept matured into a fully defined operational and regulatory structure. These securities are not prediction markets; they are longer-term investment products, stocks that trade like an index or ETF products based on the performance of sports teams. They required InPlay to build a market architecture capable of supporting real-time data, transparency, and investor confidence. Much of our efforts this year have focused on ensuring our platform will meet the same expectations placed on traditional financial products.

      A major milestone in this journey was the announcement of our partnership with MEMX. Their technology and infrastructure will help support the speed, reliability, and data sophistication essential to our securities. This collaboration became a strategic alignment, with both organizations dedicating extensive effort to define data flows, execution logic, compliance standards, and investor-facing tools. By the end of the year, our regulatory filing progressed to pending approval, a strong indication that our framework is ready for the final stage in the process to bring this new asset class to market.

      What was the highlight of 2025?

      The highlight of the year was watching our team’s long-standing conceptual work transform into a functioning, scalable ecosystem. The successful integration of our systems with MEMX stood out as a defining moment. Seeing our technology operate end-to-end real-time modeling, clean data ingestion, compliant trade processing provided powerful validation that Performance Securities can operate within established market structures.

      Equally impactful was the internal growth and alignment across InPlay Global. Our team expanded in size and capability, demonstrating creativity, resourcefulness, and a shared sense of pride. Stakeholders across the industry such as investors, partners, and market participants have responded with enthusiasm, reinforcing that demand exists for new forms of performance-based investable assets. Moving our regulatory filing into pending approval capped off the year, marking a significant milestone and laying the path toward launch of this new innovative asset class.

      What surprised you in 2025?

      Two developments in 2025 were particularly surprising: the enormous influx of capital into artificial intelligence and the rapid mainstream adoption of sports-focused prediction markets. AI investment accelerated far beyond expectations, attracting capital from institutional and nontraditional sources, and pushing technological advancements at unprecedented speed. At the same time, prediction markets evolved from niche products into credible financial instruments as improved transparency and regulatory clarity encouraged broader participation. Together, these trends confirmed that investors increasingly embrace real-time, data-driven engagement, reinforcing the market’s readiness for our Performance Securities.

      What are your expectations for 2026?

      Looking to 2026, I expect continued acceleration in market innovation, especially around emerging asset classes. For InPlay Global, the year will be defined by the launch of our Sports Performance Securities, a milestone that could reshape how investors participate in sports-related financial products. With ongoing regulatory evolution, deepening industry collaboration, and increasing appetite for alternative assets, we anticipate significant adoption and momentum as Performance Securities move into the market as a groundbreaking new category. Next year will be a year of growth in the world of sports business with the World Cup coming to the US and we are looking forward to providing the ability for investors and fans to engage during these exciting sporting events in a stock market environment.

      2025: An Eventful Year in Derivatives

      By Lynn Strongin Dodds

      It has been a roller coaster ride in the derivatives world in 2025. We look back at some of the most notable events that have shaped the industry, and which are likely to continue reverberating into 2026.

      There is no doubt that volatility was a main feature throughout the year thanks to ongoing geopolitical tensions, shifting monetary and macroeconomic policies. However, President Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs in April upended all asset classes and injected a level of uncertainty that persisted throughout the year.

      It is unsurprising that the derivatives market saw an increase in hedging strategies as investors looked to mitigate the risks. Research from the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) show activity in credit derivatives was particularly robust with index CD traded notional recording a 23% rise albeit there was a decline in trade count. This was mainly due to credit spreads tightening across high-yield and investment-grade markets, nearing post-global financial crisis lows.

      This was attributed to investors searching for yield and committing larger amounts of capital into existing positions rather than initiating a higher number of smaller, speculative trades, driving up average trade size.

      ISDA research also revealed that the OTC market enjoyed a surge, particularly in interest rate derivatives. Trading scaled new heights, though gross market values sometimes fell due to netting and collateral, indicating heightened activity but managed risk. IRD traded notional jumped by 53.6% to $142.8 trn in Q3 from $93.0 trn in the same period last year.

      This was driven by an increase in overnight index swaps (OIS) which allow institutions to hedge against interest rate fluctuations and manage credit risk.

      Crypto 

      Crypto derivatives have continued to make their mark this year moving beyond the fringe to become a more mainstream asset class. At the CME, one of the largest players, total trading volume for crypto futures and options surpassed $900 bn in Q3, marking a new all-time high. The average daily open interest (ADOI) reached $31.3 bn, with a peak nominal open interest of $39 bn in mid September,

      One reason is a more favourable regulatory environment. President Trump wasted no time after being sworn in for the second time in setting up the President’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets. The multi-agency body aim is to create a roadmap for digital assets and cement the country’s leadership role in the sector.

      There has been a flurry of activity with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) taking the lead. The most recent has been allowing listed spot crypto products to start trading on registered futures exchanges next year. The announcement follows a push from Trump for the CFTC and the US Securities and Exchange Commission to use their existing authority to divide oversight of cryptocurrency even if Congress does not take action first.

      The Senate has been considering legislation that would grant the CFTC authority to directly regulate crypto assets that do not qualify as securities, but it has yet to vote on a House-passed bill.

      The end of year also saw the CFTC launch a pilot programme to enable bitcoin, ether and the dollar pegged stablecoin USDC (US dollar coin) to be used as collateral for derivatives trades. It applies to broker, swap market participants and clearing houses. In addition, the agency published updated guidance on the use of tokenised real-world assets, including US Treasury securities and money market fund as collateral in the trading of futures and swaps.

      The US is not alone in its efforts to make crypto derivatives part of the established asset class community. In May, GFO-X made its debut as the first institutional grade digital assets derivatives trading platform in London. The regulated and centrally cleared platform, backed by the FTSE 100 fund management group M&G, will offer bitcoin index futures and options albeit there are plans to expand its range of products in the future.

      Four years ago, the UK’s  Financial Conduct Authority issued warnings over the use of digital assets but fast forward to today and the labour government has  adopted a phased approach to crypto regulation, aiming to position itself as a global hub for digital assets while prioritising consumer protection and financial stability. Over the year, the watchdog has introduced comprehensive regulations covering stablecoins, trading platforms, lending, staking, and custody which are expected to be implemented in 2026.

      Meanwhile in Europe, crypto derivatives are mainly regulated under MiFID and not the newly minted Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation.  MiCA applies to crypto assets that do not already qualify as financial instruments under existing rules. There has been a wave of activity this year in the perpetual futures trading space kicked off by Dutch trading platform making One Trading. It became the first European derivatives exchange to offer regulated crypto perpetual futures to both institutional and eligible retail customers.  These so-called Perps enable leveraged bets on the future price of crypto coins. Unlike most derivatives, they do not have an expiry date or have one years into the future.

      Ongoing Regulation

      Regulation is a never-ending theme in the derivatives world and 2025 was no exception. Both the EU and UK continued to make changes required by updated versions of existing legislation in the EU, this meant the EMIR REFIT and MiFiR. A key development was the requirement, effective June 25, 2025, for certain EU entities to hold an active account at an EU central counterparty, to reduce reliance on UK clearing houses. The European and Securities Market Authority also finalised technical standards on derivatives transparency and the OTC derivatives consolidated tape in December 2025.

      UK regulators implemented significant changes to derivatives reporting and revised UK EMIR reporting regime, which was effective from September 30, 2024. The objective, which is to enhance transparency and strengthen reporting. include 204 reportable fields and the alignment with global standards.

      There was also a continual industry push for the adoption of Digital Regulatory Reporting. and cautious exploration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to streamline compliance workflows. The DRR translates regulatory rules from human-readable text into machine-executable logic using the Common Domain Model as its foundation.

      The CDM provides a domain-specific, machine-executable representation of financial products, lifecycle events and business processes. Working alongside the DRR, market participants are being offered a fully digital, verifiable regulatory ecosystem.