Commentary

Robert Schuessler
Traders Magazine Online News

A Smarter Monkey

In this contributed piece, TIM noted that some traders do better than others when using data that has been run through certain analysis - that is, have used some form of machine learning to assist them.

Traders Poll

In his first public speech, SEC Chair Jay Clayton deviated from his prepared remarks and offered his own "off the cuff" comments on market issues. Do you like this change of pace?




Free Site Registration

February 1, 1998

The Champ: BT Alex. Brown

By Stephen Lacey

Also in this article

  • The Champ: BT Alex. Brown

In trailing 12-month rankings, five firms alternatively took the top spot for 1997 in the aftermarket performance of initial public offerings.

But the king of the hill was Baltimore-based BT Alex. Brown, which planted its banner at the top the last four months of the year, posting a 42.41 percent average annual return as of Dec. 31.

The other sterling contenders, with the number of months each finished first inside brackets, were powerhouse Morgan Stanley Dean Witter (4), New York's CIBC Oppenheimer (2), Arlington Va.-based Friedman, Billings, Ramsey & Co. (1) and New York's Bear Stearns (1).

The rankings were conducted by The IPO Aftermarket, a sister publication of Traders Magazine.

Indomitable

Despite BT Alex. Brown's indomitable position as one of Wall Street's leading underwriters of new equity offerings, the firm's deals were still among the most affordable, according to data provided by Securities Data Co.

After pricing an average 2.2 percent above the mid-point of their filing range, the firm's deals closed 16.4 percent, 18.4 percent and 15.9 percent above offering at the close of first-day, one-week and four-week trading, respectively.

For institutions, and for individual investors often excluded from a deal's initial allocation, that means just one thing more bang for the long-term buck.

For purposes of comparison, the 42 IPOs headed by Morgan Stanley-led syndicates, which priced an average of 11.4 percent above the mid-point of their filing ranges, gained 26.2 percent in first-day trading. But they closed the year an average of just 33.3 percent above offering.

"Aftermarket performance is extremely important," noted Michael Ott, managing director of equity syndication at BT Alex. Brown. "You want to show investors and prospective companies that you not only can successfully underwrite an offering, but also build long-term shareholder value."

Investment in all of the firm's 23 lead-managed offerings would have yielded an average gain of 42.41 percent above offering, supplanting Morgan Stanley, the 1996 champion and four-time leader in The IPO Aftermarket's monthly rankings in 1997.

Diversification

The top five performing IPOs in the BT Alex. Brown stable in 1997 would suggest a heavy slant toward technology outfits. Still, diversification may be at the root of its underwriting success in today's sometimes unpredictable broader markets.

BT Alex. Brown's top five IPOs were Daou Systems (Nasdaq:DAOU), a third-party manager of computer networks, whose stock closed the year at $31.25, or 247.2 percent above its February offering at $9; Radiant Systems (Nasdaq:RADS), a provider of enterprise-wide technology solutions, closed at $28.50, or 200 percent above the $9.50 offering; AHL Services (Nasdaq: AHLS), a staffing and management outsource company, closed at $24.63, or 146.3 percent above the $10 offering; Galileo Technology (Nasdaq: GALTF), an Israeli-based developer of semiconductors, closed at $28.88, or 68.9 percent above the $17 offering; and Yurie Systems (Nasdaq: YURI), a developer of asynchronous transfer-mode products, closed at $20.19, or 68.23 percent above the $12 offering.

Overall, BT Alex. Brown underwrote IPOs from six industry sectors, with the number of IPOs included inside brackets: technology (6), healthcare (3), basic industries (4), consumer (6), real estate (1) and transportation (3). Ott noted that the Sept. 1, 1997 merger of New York-based Bankers Trust and Alex. Brown added three additional sectors to the combined entities' fold: basic industries, energy/power and financial sponsors.